Predict Everything

In the 18th century, Presbyterian minister Thomas Bayes developed a formula that was significantly ahead of its time: Bayes' theorem allows us to estimate how the probability of an event changes as new information comes in. Today, Bayesian logic is one of the cornerstones of rational thinking, relied upon both by the human brain (unconsciously) and artificial intelligence. British writer and science popularizer Tom Chivers captivatingly narrates the story of Bayes himself, his theorem, and the debates around it, as well as how its application helps us improve our lives and make them more predictably better.