The End of Times

Petr Valentinovich Turchin (born 1957) is a specialist in the field of population dynamics and mathematical modeling of historical dynamics. He has led several large ecological projects. He made a particularly important contribution to the development of mathematical models of 'century-long' socio-demographic cycles. It was P. V. Turchin who first proposed the concept of 'cliodynamics'. In his book 'The End of Times', Petr Turchin warns society about some key social and political trends that herald a decade of civil unrest and turmoil, wars, and poverty. The fundamental problems of current social ills have three sources: 'overproduction of elites', the decline in the standard of living of the population as a whole, and the inability of governments to fulfill their obligations. It is these reasons that lead modern society to its inevitable 'end of times', after which new cycles of political integration and disintegration always follow.